The way Donald Trump handles the North Korea, Iran, and Afghanistan files has revealed a solution model for hot spots.
From the starting point of negotiations, Mr. Trump’s solution model is very different from his predecessors.
One of the unexpected developments in recent days is that US President Donald Trump canceled secret meetings and negotiations with Afghan President Ashraf Ghani and Taliban leaders at Camp David.
The biggest surprise was Mr. Trump’s intention to meet directly with Taliban leaders and the meeting was also planned to take place on US territory.
Many people in the US believe that this incident is like the last straw that caused US national security advisor John Bolton to leave office, possibly due to voluntary resignation but also possibly due to being fired by Mr. Trump.
The most appropriate and useful model
The secret meetings at Camp David were unsuccessful but were still a manifestation of the model that Mr. Trump considered most appropriate and believed would be most useful in helping Mr. Trump satisfactorily resolve persistent political and security issues.
It is necessary to be fair and objective to confirm two things first.
First, all of these problems were not caused by Mr. Trump for America.
Although he has always asserted that he does not rule out the possibility of using military measures to solve these problems, Mr. Trump fully understands that the United States cannot solve them by military means because if possible and if victory is certain, then
After nearly 18 years, the US has not destroyed the Taliban in Afghanistan.
This person also fully understands that it is impossible to use military measures to change the regime in North Korea or Iran and even if it is changed, it will still have to suffer all the consequences and consequences as it has been until now.
Solution model for hot spots
Mr. Trump’s solution model is to increase pressure on the governments of those countries to make it difficult for them to transform themselves in internal socio-politics or to submit to the US at the same time as
In terms of negotiations, Mr. Trump differs from his predecessors in that he intentionally created a different starting point first, then offered to negotiate unconditionally and especially used the framework of high-level meetings to guide negotiations.
Mr. Trump first used this approach and method with North Korea, then offered Iran and is about to do it with the Taliban in Afghanistan, the same model but with different specific developments because
What Mr. Trump has achieved so far is to bring about very fundamental and profound changes in all three issues but has not yet achieved a solution, or in other words, has not been successful.
Limits of mold
First is the sensitivity and delicacy of domestic affairs in America.
Second, that solution model or template can only be successful when there is mutual trust between the US and other partners and they truly believe that each other will seriously and fully implement what has been agreed.
Third, Mr. Trump has now begun to race against time and urgently needs specific results.
All current signs show that Mr. Trump is still betting wholeheartedly on the success of this solution model or model.
According to Dich Dung
World & Vietnam
